DRAM supplies from Hynix's fabrication (fab) plant in Wuxi, China, aren't
expected to return to normal until next year after a
fire severely damaged that facility, according to a new report.
In the meantime, DRAM prices are up 35 percent since the fire, as looming
supply constraints prevail and there appears to be no rush by DRAM makers to
sign new contracts, according to the report from analysts at investment bank
PiperJaffray.
The fire that blazed
for almost two hours on September 4 damaged equipment used for making PC
DRAM, which sent memory prices skyrocketing .
Hynix said
it would make every effort to ramp up its Waxi-based fab operations to return
to normal DRAM production by this November, a prediction PiperJaffray
contested.
"While press reports have indicated that Hynix's DRAM fab in Wuxi, China
could be coming back online in November following the fire, we now believe that
it is likely to take much longer than expected in terms of bringing the [130,000
to 140,000] wafers a month of DRAM (50% of Hynix's installed DRAM capacity) by
this time frame, given the destruction from the fire," PiperJaffray's report
states.
In the meantime, Hynix said is planning to start up DRAM in its M12 fab in
Korea to offset the shortfall in supply.
Hynix competitor Micron will benefit from the DRAM shortfall, a financial
bonus that should show up in its quarterly report in December, PiperJaffray's
report said.
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